@article{oai:tsukuba.repo.nii.ac.jp:00048177, author = {日下, 博幸 and 呉羽, 正昭 and Suzuki-Parker, Asuka and Miura, Yoshika and Kusaka, Hiroyuki and Kureha, Masaaki}, issue = {8529748}, journal = {Advances in Meteorology}, month = {Sep}, note = {This is the first study in assessing the impact of climate change on Japanese ski fields with ensemble dynamical downscaling simulations. We target three ski fields in Ehime Prefecture, a southern border area for skiing in Japan. Our field survey revealed that a field located above 1200 m altitudes currently operates on natural snow supply, but those located at lower altitudes depend solely or partially on artificial snow supply. Fields are currently open for 82∼105 days. We analyzed ensemble high-resolution (5 km) dynamical downscaling simulations for future ski season durations with natural and artificial snow supplies. The future projection results for the end of the twenty-first century suggested that there would be virtually no natural snow accumulation in the study area for skiing. With artificial snow supply, a field located above 1200 m would be able to retain more than two months of ski season duration. Fields located at lower altitudes would only be able to open for 37∼43 days even with artificial snow supply. While the above projections suggest a severe outlook for the targeted ski fields, it is important to note that there is a strong demand from local skiers at beginner/intermediate levels for these ski fields. Thus, as long as these demands remain in the future, and if a business model to maximize profit during short opening periods is established, it may be possible to offset profit loss due to climate change.}, pages = {1--10}, title = {Assessing the Sustainability of Ski Fields in Southern Japan under Global Warming}, volume = {2018}, year = {2018} }